Trending
## Market Snapshot Bab el-Mandeb Strait closure market is currently priced at 10.5% YES, down from 14% 24 hours ago. This reflects a declining expectation of closure within the next 29 days. ## Key�...
## Market Snapshot The market for “Trump agreeing to Iranian oil sanction relief” is currently unclear, with active sub-markets showing uncertainty. The “Iran surrendering enriched uranium by D...
## Market Snapshot The market for Iran’s enriched uranium surrender by December 31, 2026, is currently priced at 32% YES, down from 34% a day ago. The June 30, 2026, market shows a 12% YES probabili...
## Market Snapshot The “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026” market is currently pricing a decrease in the likelihood of a YES outcome due to ongoing hostilities. The “Russia capture K...
## Market Snapshot WTI Crude Oil Prices in May 2026 are currently priced to reflect increased geopolitical tensions, with the market suggesting potential price increases. The Strait of Hormuz Traffi�...
## Market Snapshot Meta Platforms Stock Price Predictions market is currently showing a 0.1% YES probability, a decrease from 2% 24 hours ago. The current market reflects skepticism about Meta hitti�...
## Market Snapshot The market for “Will Donald Trump visit China on May 3, 2026?” currently shows a 0.4% probability for a YES outcome. The pricing has remained stable over the past 24 hours, wit...
## Market Snapshot U.S. Anti-Cartel Operation Timeline market shows 99.8% YES for an operation by April 30, 2026. This is an increase from 99% YES 24 hours ago and 14% YES a week ago, indicating hei�...
## Market Snapshot Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire by April 30, 2026: Currently priced at low probability for a YES resolution. Russia Capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026: Priced at 76.5% YES, showi�...
## Market Snapshot In the “Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31” market, the outcome is priced at 100.0% YES, up from 74% 24 hours ago and 24% a week ago. The market has seen substantia...